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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Fed”
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How to trade
Fed Decision in October?
No change
34%
25 bps increase
11%
3 more
$425K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$73
49 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
29%
September Meeting
24%
3 more
$1.87M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$86
64 trading now
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
9%
Yes
No
1
10%
Yes
No
$5.4K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$206
45 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
26%
Other
23%
7 more
$655K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
63 trading now
Fed Decision in December?
No change
29%
25 bps increase
16%
3 more
$3.8K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$85
33 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
19%
1 (25 bps)
16%
4 more
$97K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$130
43 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
31%
Pause–Pause–Pause
15%
7 more
$608K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$80
47 trading now
Fed Decision in January?
No change
31%
25 bps increase
10%
3 more
$850.32
Vol.
Jan 27
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$81
31 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$753.44
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
41 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$5.9K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
44 trading now
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